Zalewski Set To Release Condo Outlook For 2025-26 South Florida Winter Buying Season
Expert Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ will unveil his base case projections for the South Florida Winter Buying Season at the Monthly Virtual Meeting on Nov. 12, 2025.
What should condo buyers, sellers and real estate professionals expect for the 2025-26 South Florida Winter Buying Season?
A link to the November 2025 virtual Monthly Meeting and supplemental charts are available at the bottom of this report for members of the Miami Condo Investing Club™.
Miami condo expert Peter Zalewski—who founded the the Miami Condo Investing Club™ in 2024—is scheduled to share his base-case projections for the busiest time of the year in the tricounty region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach at the Club’s next Monthly Virtual Meeting scheduled for Noon (EST) to 1.15 pm on Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2025.
The event promises to deliver a rigorous and actionable analysis of the South Florida condo market, focusing specifically on the immediate opportunities and challenges presented by the Winter Buying Season when visitors descend on the region for the weather, numerous events and Carnival-like atmosphere.
Inevitably, many of these seasonal visitors end up enjoying their time so much that they consider investing in the market.
While they may begin the search during the busy winter months, a significant portion of these visitors ultimately end up completing their purchases during the slower, subsequent South Florida Summer Buying Season, which runs from May through October.
Attendees of the Club’s November 2025 Monthly Virtual Meeting are expected to gain a clear, data-driven forecast crucial for navigating one of the most volatile yet opportunistic real estate climates in recent memory.
The Club’s 75-minute Monthly Virtual Meeting offers the opportunity to watch and listen to Zalewski - who is a former business journalist, Wall Street consultant, expert witness and licensed Florida real estate buyside broker - share his analysis in a manner that is designed for investors.
The Monthly Virtual Meeting features Zalewski’s 60-minute presentation, followed by a 15-minute Questions and Answers session.
A video copy of the presentation will be available for on-demand viewing afterwards.
A private link for online access to the November 2025 Monthly Virtual Meeting is available at the bottom of this report behind the paywall.
The Monthly Meeting is exclusively for Club members. If you are not yet a member, you can join the Club on a monthly basis for $49.99 with this link.
As the South Florida condo market enters a period of intense seasonal activity, the information provided during this window will be instrumental for positioning investment portfolios for the next six months.
With decades of experience tracking preconstruction booms, market corrections and regulatory shifts, Zalewski is uniquely positioned to synthesize the numerous factors currently influencing South Florida condo values.
His analysis moves beyond generalized sentiment, grounding its findings in proprietary data and market observation.
Zalewski’s presentation is titled “2025-26 South Florida Winter Buying Season Condo Outlook,” and it will be the definitive roadmap for members looking to enter or exit positions before the market heats up.
The overarching goal is to provide a complete picture that addresses both the overarching economic forces that dictate capital flow and the local market behaviors that create distinct investment anomalies.
The virtual session will begin by tackling the significant macroeconomic headwinds that continue to shape global and local investment decisions.
Zalewski is slated to dissect the complicated financial climate, where national and global pressures are creating mixed signals for real estate stability and growth.
Understanding these larger currents is essential for making tactical decisions at the property level.
Chief among the macroeconomic issues Zalewski will discuss are the trend of falling interest rates and rising inflation that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell calls “two-sided risk.”
Falling interest rates traditionally act as a tailwind for real estate financing, potentially reducing the cost of capital for acquisition.
However, this positive force must be weighed against the corrosive effect of rising inflation, which increases the costs of construction, maintenance and overall operational expenses for condo ownership.
Adding to the complexity is the issue of souring consumer sentiment and slowing employment growth, which can dampen buyer demand and reduce local purchasing power.
Zalewski will analyze how a softening job market in South Florida could affect both primary and secondary condo buyers, potentially shifting market dynamics toward more discount-driven transactions rather than those based purely on luxury or amenity.
Following the macro analysis, the presentation will pivot to focus on microeconomic factors and strategic local opportunities within the tricounty region.
A key part of the discussion will center on the strategy of certain savvy investors who are currently picking off Vintage condos that are at least 30 years old.
These properties are reportedly trading at staggering 80 percent discounts, presenting an opportunity that is generally only seen during moments of severe market dislocation or regulatory panic.
Zalewski will also draw attention to the alarmingly low capitalization rates currently being tracked in South Florida’s prime condo markets.
These rates serve as a crucial metric for measuring investment profitability, and the current readings suggest a deeply troubled investment landscape for traditional buy-and-hold strategies.
Specifically, two major bellwether markets—Greater Downtown Miami Overall condos and Miami Beach Vintage condos—are showing cap rates of less than 1.00 percent at the commencement of the Winter Buying Season.
Based on the Club’s newly launched Miami Condo Investability Barometer™, these dismal returns are formally classified as Uninvestable for conventional investors, underscoring the necessity of seeking non-traditional, distress-based opportunities.
Furthermore, attendees will receive key data from the new “Benchmark 2025 Highrise Edition” report, which addresses the rising maintenance fee cost of condo ownership.
The report indicates that monthly maintenance fees have reached significant averages, with Miami-Dade County clocking in at $1.15 per square foot, and Broward and Palm Beach counties averaging $1.02 per square foot.
These soaring operational costs further compound the problem of low cap rates and highlight the need for investment skepticism.
Beyond presenting new data and forecasts, Zalewski will provide attendees a comprehensive recap of the market’s recent trajectory, establishing a crucial context.
He will review where the market was during the peak frenzy, detail its current precarious position, and outline the actionable expectations for the remainder of the 2025-2026 Winter Buying Season.
The objective of the Club is to create a community that shares realtime, actionable information on the latest real estate trends, opportunities and service providers in South Florida.
Besides real estate professionals, developers and lenders, the Club is also ideally suited for Do-It-Yourself (DIY) condo buyers and real estate agents, alike, who can utilize our latest statistics, expert opinions and access to consulting services.
All of the Club’s preferred vendors have also been invited to the event, including:
Veteran title expert Clarita Rosa of Miami-based Candor Title & Closing Services;
Permit and planning expert Anne-Christine Carrie of Miami 21 Zoning & Entitlements;
Construction contractor Andres Alvarez Murcia of 3A Quality Services Construction And Remodeling;
Wholesaler Jose Suarez of Global Inventory Liquidators;
And veteran lender Grant Stern of Morningside Mortgage Corp.
It is worth noting that all of the Club’s Monthly Meetings are scheduled to be held at Noon (EST) on the second Wednesday of every month. Here is the schedule for the 2025-26 South Florida Winter Buying Season:
Besides access to all reports, charts and Monthly Meetings, the Club also hosts regular MeetUp events for members to talk shop, pitch their services and discuss the latest trends they are witnessing in the trenches of Miami’s volatile condo market.
The next MeetUp event is scheduled from 5.30 pm to 8 pm Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2025, in Fort Lauderdale in Broward County.
As with the Monthly Meetings, the Meetup events are exclusively for members of the Miami Condo Investing Club™. Here is the schedule for the 2025 South Florida Winter Buying Season:
It is worth noting that we are sharing a portion of our research for free to our newsletter subscribers and MiamiCondo.Club readers, providing a glimpse into our insights.
For full access to our comprehensive reports, statistical charts, monthly virtual meetings, and exclusive meetup events, we invite you to join the Miami Condo Investing Club™.
The Club's mission is to foster a community that shares real-time, actionable intelligence on the latest real estate trends, emerging opportunities and trusted service providers throughout South Florida.
Whether you're a Do-It-Yourself (DIY) condo buyer or a seasoned real estate professional, the Club provides invaluable resources, including up-to-date statistics, expert analysis, and access to tailored consulting services.
An added benefit of the Club is that members receive discounts on all Miami Condo Correction Walking Tours™. Please visit MiamiCondoClub.eventbrite.com for a schedule of upcoming tours.
We also encourage you to explore our podcast, available on all major platforms such as Apple, Spotify and YouTube, for insightful discussions and updates.
As always, our consulting, expert witness and buyside brokerage services remain available to you, building on our established reputation since 2006.
For specific information regarding discounted condo resales or bulk deals in South Florida, please visit CondoVulturesRealty.com or contact our office directly at 305.865.5859.
This information is intended for general informational purposes only and is based on research, personal experience, and interviews. It does not constitute legal advice, as we are not legal professionals. While we strive for accuracy and completeness, this information is provided on an "as is" basis, without any warranties or guarantees.
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